Nicholas Zabaly: The Oscars
Saturday, February 21st, 2009Darnit, Nicholas, stop working so hard!
My list was based more on speculation and prediction, while Nicholas addresses his own personal views. I’m a little shocked at his choice for Best Picture, but I haven’t seen his choice yet, so who am I to judge?
Nick’s Picks (and Pics!): Oscar Predictions for 2009
By Nicholas Zabaly
Since Cameron has already shared his list with the blogging world, I thought it only appropriate that I join the fray now that I’ve (at last!) seen all the Best Picture nominees. I will apologize in advance for at times going out on a total limb (which is just part of my non-pragmatic style when it comes to art) and picking movies I know have no chance of winning, but all you readers can suffice to hold in your hearts that my choices are my true choices, based on honest opinion and respect for the quality Hollywood has put forth (or not). So, while my picks will probably not end up all that accurate, you can be assured they are from the heart.
Additionally, a note on interpreting the list: italicized titles are those I’ve seen, while bolded titles are for those I’m predicting (or in many cases, just hoping) to win. I also have only listed categories where I’ve seen some of the nominees. Now, let’s get to it!
Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
Sean Penn (Milk)
Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
WHY: This is, quite frankly, a darn hard category for me to pick. Three of the four performances I saw were extraordinary, and the fourth at the very least had some aspects of uniqueness, so it is rather difficult to pin down just one. But Mickey Rourke for me steals the show. Not only was this a great role for a great actor, but it was one totally mastered, completely emotionally convincing in its sincere bid for feeling. Moreover, Rourke had to master some very physical scenes and set pieces, and did so with remarkable effort and spirit. While a lot of people are making this out as a case where he will win due to the comeback nature of landing the role, I see this as a case where Rourke’s talent was finally untapped by a terrific screenwriter and director, who were able to encourage him to be all he could and go to the places that no one, much less a person who’s had as much trouble as him, want to go. If Rourke wins, and I think he will, it is totally deserved without any qualifiers or strings of any kind attached. This is, simply, just damn fine acting.
Best Actress in a Leading Role:
Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
Angelina Jolie (Changeling)
Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
Meryl Streep (Doubt)
Kate Winslet (The Reader)
WHY: Because it’s finally Kate’s year, that’s why! The only competition here (at least, based on what I’ve seen) would be Meryl Streep, who totally dominated her habit without a Doubt (pun intended, however bad it may be), but Kate Winslet brought an amazing humanity to The Reader that overran normal boundaries of a good performance, instead conveying true life and dimension. She also had a very challenging character to do that with, in that very few actresses working today could make a person as deeply flawed as Hanna Schmitz relatable, let alone likable. But like her you do, in a way that is as fraught and twisted as the love she shares with her young admirer. Winslet is brave, revealing acting that isn’t afraid to play with raw emotion, teasing it out even in non-verbal moments. Having been recognized twice by the Golden Globes, I think it’s high time that the Academy awarded the remarkable Winslet with the prize she so obviously deserves.
Best Actor in a Supporting Role:
Josh Brolin (Milk)
Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic Thunder)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)
WHY: Perhaps the most obvious choice of all this Oscar season, but not for the obvious reason. Of course, everyone thinks it would be only right for Heath Ledger to be awarded the Oscar for his final complete role (and if there is any justice in the world, it would), but to give Ledger the award for this reason would be to overlook what it easily a career-best performance, and one that no one other than he could have delivered. Ledger delved into his role with immense professionalism, reaching frightening depths that summon in audiences all the fears of this age. This is total immersion acting, even extending to the horrifying videos of his victims that the Joker films (which, of course, were shot by Ledger himself). Josh Brolin and Philip Seymour Hoffman also do top-of-the-line (and arguably also career best) work, and I don’t feel I could in good faith avoid saying that, were they not up against an iconic role, their work would be Oscar worthy. But this, quite simply, is Heath’s year, and at this point I can see nothing standing in his way. This Oscar, which I sincerely hope (more than in any other category) he gets, will be the final flourish on what can only be called an uneven yet glorious career. Bravo, Heath.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role:
Amy Adams (Doubt)
Penélope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
Viola Davis (Doubt)
Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
WHY: Amy Adams is, in my opinion at least, one of the finest young actresses we have in the film craft today. I first was made aware of her in last year’s Enchanted (which she deserved at least a nomination for), and seeing her again in Doubt, I can confirm that her talents spread across the full spectrum of genres. The key to her persona is a believable innocence, something that very few people can convincingly put forth. But her character in Doubt is not just naïve, but has a rich underlying dimension of having erected an image innocence to protect herself from the unpleasant possibilities the world has to offer. To a certain extent, all the supporting actresses (that I saw) this year had one-note emotion characters, Adams included. But in her performance, there was far greater believability, raw humanity, and sympathetic vulnerability than in the others. Only Marisa Tomei came close to matching her, and even then, Amy Adams is to me the clear victor. Hers is a performance I feel confident in studying, because it holds up to scrutiny. But to look at it in purely analytical terms would be a mistake, for Adams’ remarkable triumph is in creating an emotional bond between herself and the audience. It is better to ‘feel’ her than anything else, and the notion that we can feel, through a channel of sympathetic vulnerability, is quite astounding and certainly Oscar worthy.
Best Cinematography:
Changeling (Tom Stern)
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Claudio Miranda)
The Dark Knight (Wally Pfister)
The Reader (Roger Deakins, Chris Menges)
Slumdog Millionaire (Anthony Dod Mantle)
WHY: Wally Pfister not only attempted to do something revolutionary this year, but succeeded: he shot some of the most challenging sequences of The Dark Knight, including a very lengthy and complex chase sequence, in IMAX. The challenge of working this out, and then creating camerawork that was not in any way hindered or held back by the difficulties of the technology, is itself astounding. But to then realize the filming of the rest of the movie so well, with such excellent shot choice, use of lighting, and especially effective movement, seals the deal. Roger Deakins and Chris Menges did fine work in The Reader, but it seems almost pedestrian compared to the marathon trial by fire that Wally Pfister not only survived, but mastered with aplomb. While other crowd favorites (like Slumdog Millionaire) might snatch up the prize, in my mind, Pfister’s camera remains one of the most distinct makers of The Dark Knight’s success as a landmark motion picture.
Best Editing:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Angus Wall, Kirk Baxter)
The Dark Knight (Lee Smith)
Frost/Nixon (Daniel P. Hanley, Mike Hill)
Milk (Eliot Graham)
Slumdog Millionaire (Chris Dickens)
WHY: Editing is perhaps one of the hardest categories to judge, because if a film is edited well, one will likely not notice the editing. More than almost every other aspect of moviemaking, editing is an ‘invisible technique’ to most. But good editing is always evident in effective scene flow, an in my mind, no film does this better this year than The Dark Knight. Lee Smith’s work feels like a natural progression, and nothing ever seems unclear, unnatural, or out of place. The film just flows off the screen, without the audience ever feeling they’ve been left behind by a change in location, or by inter-cutting of the numerous concurrent threads. Ultimately, it just comes down to effectiveness, and Lee Smith takes the prize for that.
Best Art Direction:
Changeling (James J. Murakami, Gary Fettis)
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Donald Graham Burt, Victor J. Zolfo)
The Dark Knight (Nathan Crowley, Peter Lando)
The Duchess (Michael Carlin, Rebecca Alleway)
Revolutionary Road (Zristi Zea, Debra Schutt)
WHY: A number of imaginative worlds were conjured up in this year’s batch of production design, but for me, The Dark Knight is again triumphant. The reason is simple: everything in the art direction of Nathan Crowley and Peter Lando works, and works well. I never for a moment thought I was looking at anything other than reality, partially because so much of the film is actually shot on real locations, but also due to remarkably convincing attention to detail in the fantastical, such as the cell phone tracking machine, the high-tech Batman Basement, and the assorted dark places where the Joker lurks. A wonderful sense of the urban was conjured up here, and for anyone who’s ever been in an overbuilt old city like Chicago (where a lot of the film was shot), the drama is only made more authentic and frightening.
Best Costume Design:
Australia (Catherine Martin)
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Jacqueline West)
The Duchess (Michael O’Connor)
Milk (Danny Glicker)
Revolutionary Road (Albert Wolsky)
WHY: All the nominees this year had the task of trying to match the clothes of an era (or in the case of Benjamin Button, curious or otherwise, several eras). And, of the films I saw, all of them did this admirably. My choice of Milk is partially based on my fondness for the film and subject matter, but it is equally due to seeing some of Danny Glicker’s costumes first hand (they were displayed at the Arclight Hollywood). They have a very smart fashion sense and have a great feel of realism, effectively capturing the Castro of 30 years ago in its best and most appealing light. While I suppose this is a category that could go either way, I felt the strongest connection to Milk’s costumes, as they totally fit the characters (and actors) wearing them, not only in the literal sense, but in the subconscious realm of psychological reinforcement. Harvey Milk looked and felt like Harvey Milk, with his smart suits and more casual relaxed wear, while Dan White’s straight-laced conservatism was likewise conveyed by his wardrobe. If the clothes make the man, then Danny Glicker helped make Milk. And in my mind, he did a fine job of it.
Best Makeup:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Greg Cannom)
The Dark Knight (John Caglione Jr., Conor O’Sullivan)
Hellboy II: The Golden Army (Mike Elizalde, Thomas Floutz)
WHY: Although plenty of incredible talents were on display this year in the makeup field, the brilliant work on The Dark Knight took things to a new level. Although it’s easy to overlook it now, creating a convincing and horrifying look for the Joker could have, in lesser hands, completely backfired and stripped the character of his visual menace. Instead, John Caglione Jr. and Conor O’Sullivan created a terrifying visage of cracking white makeup, blood-red lips, and threatening scars that has become as much a part of the Joker’s presence as Heath Ledger’s performance. Particularly incredible is the interrogation scene, where the Joker’s makeup (that has remained the same since the start of the earlier chase) is allowed to slowly crack and deteriorate throughout. This ingenious sequence demonstrates unbelievable attention to continuity (since it was not shot straight through in a single session), as well as total command of using makeup as an actor within the moment (for indeed, the makeup coming off and gradually revealing the Joker serves the scene tremendously and aids Ledger’s acting). Besides this makeup tour-de-force, the rest of the cast was also well attended to, including the convincing (and digitally assisted) appearance of Two-Face.
Best Original Score:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Alexander Desplat)
Defiance (James Newton Howard)
Milk (Danny Elfman)
Slumdog Millionaire (A.R. Rahman)
WALL-E (Thomas Newman)
WHY: For me, this is a clear choice. While the music in all the other nominees was decent, none of it was memorable. None, except for Thomas Newman’s score for WALL-E. The WALL-E score is a work of orchestral genius, with unique sounds and aural landscapes created for each environment (Earth sounds nothing like the Axiom), each character, and the whole range of emotion. This is simply beautiful scoring, far and away the best of the year (save the score for The Dark Knight, which the Academy stupidly disqualified), and indelibly a part of the WALL-E experience. Months after last seeing the film, I’m still humming the score (and believe me, it’s not an easy score the hum, as it’s rather complicated!). For any composer, that’s the mark of true success.
Best Original Song:
Slumdog Millionaire – “Jai Ho” (A.R. Rahman, Gulzar)
Slumdog Millionaire – “O Saya” (A.R. Rahman, Maya Arulpragasam)
WALL-E – “Down to Earth” (Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman)
WHY: Again, another clear choice. While the songs in Slumdog were good, there is a certain memorable feeling that lingers in Peter Gabriel’s lyrics and melody that, subsequent to seeing WALL-E, has become a part of my musical life. At emotional moments where my state of mind seems to match that of WALL-E and EVE, I find the song on the tip of my tongue. It continues to astound me that an unassuming song like “Down to Earth” would have that kind of power, but it does. It’s one of the great movie songs of the past few years, along with Melissa Etheridge’s “I Need to Wake Up” from An Inconvenient Truth.
Best Sound:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, Mark Weingarten)
The Dark Knight (Ed Novick, Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo)
Slumdog Millionaire (Ian Tapp, Richard Pryke, Resul Pookutty)
WALL-E (Tom Myers, Michael Semanick, Ben Burtt)
Wanted (Chris Jenkins, Frank A. Montaño, Petr Forejt)
WHY: This is an incredibly hard choice for me. Between The Dark Knight and WALL-E, we had simply phenomenal sound this year. On the one hand, The Dark Knight takes the sounds of the real world to a whole new level, transporting them to the same realms of aural iconography that the visuals have. One the other hand, WALL-E creates a whole new world of sound, an entire universe of things we haven’t heard before. Ultimately, I had to go with WALL-E, but it’s on a totally subjective level, and I wouldn’t at all be sad to see The Dark Knight take the prize.
Best Sound Editing:
The Dark Knight (Richard King)
Iron Man (Frank E. Eulner, Christopher Boyes)
Slumdog Millionaire (Tom Sayers)
WALL-E (Ben Burtt, Matthew Wood)
Wanted (Wylie Stateman)
WHY: Again, this is a hard choice. However, it’s made easier by the fact that I know the back-story behind Ben Burtt’s creation of the voice of WALL-E and the other robots. This is one of the great triumphs of sound editing, a fitting crown on the career of one of the greatest soundmen of our age. Richard King also deserves an ocean of credit for The Dark Knight; but it’s Ben Burtt’s year, and I sincerely hope he wins for this.
Best Visual Effects:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Eric Barba, Steve Preeg, Burt Dalton, Craig Barron)
The Dark Knight (Nick Davis, Chris Corbould, Timothy Webber, Paul J. Franklin)
Iron Man (John Nelson, Ben Snow, Daniel Sudick, Shane Mahan)
WHY: If one will excuse the implication that Visual Effects are necessarily computer-created effects, and will allow the term to also cover Special Effects (those done in-camera, with models, or via non-digital means), then The Dark Knight wins hands down. This is some of the most convincing Special Effects work I’ve seen in a decade, with stunning models (remember the garbage truck being rammed by Batman’s tumbler? That’s a model!) and tons of physical effects work (really blowing up a hospital, which was actually a Brach’s candy factory). There’s even some good computer work too, including creating the appearance of Two-Face, and the shots of Batman flying and being pulled out of the high rise (which the director actually wanted to do, but the Hong Kong authorities would not allow it). If Visual Effects purely means computer work, then Benjamin Button will win, but if the Academy is willing to look back to an age where people really did effects physically, then The Dark Knight is an incredible triumph of the effects work of the past, brilliantly realized for the present.
Best Animated Feature Film:
Bolt (Chris Williams, Byron Howard)
Kung Fu Panda (John Stevenson, Mark Osborne)
WALL-E (Andrew Stanton)
WHY: This was a great year for animation. Technically, any of these nominees is deserving. In terms of a fully realized film, I’m torn between two of them. But at the end of the day, I have to go with WALL-E, because of the three, this is the only film I felt deserved to be nominated for Best Picture. It is my favorite film of the year, animated or otherwise. So, I give it my vote, and hope for the best.
Best Foreign Language Film:
Das Baader Meinhof Komplex (Germany)
Entre les murs (France)
Revanche (Austria)
Okuribito (Japan)
Vals Im Bashir (Israel)
WHY: This was a category where I wish I’d been able to see all the nominated films. As it is, I’m just barely able to squeak in at the last minute with my vote. But based on what I’ve seen, I have to go with Waltz with Bashir, Ari Folman’s masterpiece. This is a film that probably would be too hard to take if it weren’t animated, yet because it is an illustrated movie, the sentiments enter your heart in a completely different way than if it were live action. I personally think it is more affecting because it is animated. Besides this, however, it is a brilliant piece of filmmaking, and easily deserves the Oscar. My bets are on Bashir for the win.
Best Short Film, Animated:
La Maison en petits cubes (Kunio Katô)
Ubornaya istoriya – Iyubovnaya istoriya (Konstantin Bronzit)
Oktapodi (Emud Mokhberi, Thierry Marchand)
Presto (Doug Sweetland)
This Way Up (Alan Smith, Adam Foulkes)
WHY: While This Way Up was highly creative and amusing, and La Maison en petits cubes was the most meaningful, Doug Sweetland’s Presto takes the prize for most entertaining and funny. There’s such a sense of enthusiasm and movement in his work that it really is impossible to resist. As a second choice, I wouldn’t be sad to see Kunio Katô recognized (as his film really is Oscar worthy in every regard), but my vote stays with Sweetland. Best of luck, Doug!
Best Original Screenplay:
Frozen River (Courtney Hunt)
Happy-Go-Lucky (Mike Leigh)
In Bruges (Martin McDonagh)
Milk (Dustin Lance Black)
WALL-E (Andrew Stanton, Pete Docter, Jim Reardon)
WHY: This is the category where I’ve seen the fewest films, so my judgment may be a little off. Nonetheless, I cast my vote once more for WALL-E. To be able to create such memorable and sympathetic characters largely without dialogue, and to master storytelling to such a huge extent via the purely visual, practically sends WALL-E back to the silent age of moviemaking. But in that environment of actions speaking louder than words, WALL-E’s script reaches heights of emotion and plot that seem almost unattainable. Despite its unconventional nature, this is as close to a perfect script as anyone is likely to find this year. With a great concept, wonderful characters, and a deep and moving story that totally transcends time, space, and international boundaries, WALL-E speaks to us all. That is an amazing accomplishment.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Eric Roth, Robin Swicord)
Doubt (John Patrick Shanley)
Frost/Nixon (Peter Morgan)
The Reader (David Hare)
Slumdog Millionaire (Simon Beaufoy)
WHY: Having seen all the nominees, and having thought about all the scripts carefully, the one that emerges most strongly in my mind is, without a Doubt, that of John Patrick Shanley. Adapting his play (which has only four characters) into the rich film environment of the final movie, he hit upon timely questions of trust and faith, not only in religion, but across the entirety of society. The great performances of Doubt were only possible thanks to this great script, which is literally overflowing with top-notch lines and stabbing emotions.
Best Director:
Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Steven Daldry (The Reader)
David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)
Gus Van Sant (Milk)
WHY: This is a very hard choice for me. Between Daldry, Howard, and Van Sant, there are three great directors at the top of their craft this year. Ultimately, though, I had to go with my favorite of the films, and that was The Reader. Steven Daldry directed his actors to remarkable heights, gaining revealing intimacy from them in every scene. Besides this, the flow of the film is unmatched, working from a great script and aided by a fine crew. But it is Daldry’s movie, and he executed it perfectly. There isn’t a single thing I would ask him to change, if I had the opportunity. This is great work, and highly deserving of Oscar honor.
Best Picture:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Ceán Chaffin, Kathleen Kennedy, Frank Marshal)
Frost/Nixon (Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Eric Fellner)
Milk (Bruce Cohen, Dan Jinks)
The Reader (Anthony Minghella, Sydney Pollack, Donna Gigliotti, Redmond Morris)
Slumdog Millionaire (Christian Colson)
WHY: Because, just as with Best Director, there just isn’t anything I would change with The Reader. It is the most emotional film, the most gripping, and the most memorable after the credits roll and curtains close. I truly think it is one of the finest films of the decade. Furthermore, it is a fine parting work from Anthony Minghella and Sydney Pollack, who together helped to launch it into being and who both sadly did not live to see its success. I also have to highlight Frost/Nixon and Milk as being great movies that both deserve top honors. If any of these three won, it would be a happy day for me. Nonetheless, my top choice still remains The Reader, and with a little luck, I hope to see it succeed on Oscar night.
Thanks for reading all my comments, and sorry I didn’t get to the short live action films or any of the documentaries. Next time! Until then, here’s to Oscar!